Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1015.844396 1157.981273 1318.252998 1513.426918 1746.116113 2016.433139 2356.832916
2025-05-11 802.651293 985.626174 1212.520087 1518.871726 1928.445304 2467.067954 3246.090720
2025-05-18 710.800694 914.924423 1184.016190 1573.210289 2136.407297 2946.182761 4246.455952
2025-05-25 642.879566 859.100073 1158.544374 1616.950719 2326.411335 3429.407811 5377.405828
2025-06-01 584.394295 805.153755 1123.544096 1634.773233 2473.039835 3869.467441 6560.208312
2025-06-08 534.052999 755.043276 1084.993773 1637.190754 2590.173920 4280.398340 7814.460657
2025-06-15 500.308488 724.717346 1070.946010 1673.958511 2768.206967 4835.022082 9538.180511
2025-06-22 452.806704 667.703628 1007.394417 1616.960804 2766.195444 5045.666701 10596.154138
2025-06-29 413.442647 619.488889 952.395768 1566.298460 2765.355408 5255.681290 11729.174117
2025-07-06 377.897501 574.127960 897.272088 1507.622227 2737.831976 5401.438214 12757.298539
2025-07-13 366.132858 566.695752 905.575348 1566.919405 2959.191142 6155.732183 15792.184901
2025-07-20 349.411579 549.280141 894.359065 1586.775802 3100.206724 6758.929349 18702.695298
2025-07-27 332.253051 530.209668 879.237937 1598.957478 3231.967154 7392.024409 22152.015155
2025-08-03 315.697760 510.904920 861.933323 1604.752283 3351.792804 8036.496482 26117.109516
2025-08-10 307.190977 505.133607 869.193459 1662.983824 3610.193153 9162.134251 32945.699520
2025-08-17 297.926072 497.123819 871.189426 1709.878071 3850.909077 10329.072456 41151.560262
2025-08-24 286.374600 483.890292 861.507992 1728.992592 4022.884558 11345.247751 49780.128006
2025-08-31 274.101182 468.336997 845.657930 1731.585610 4150.414464 12263.999900 59061.158013
2025-09-07 266.279947 460.712269 845.293061 1771.031116 4393.727691 13720.231457 74093.321920
2025-09-14 249.986274 435.459104 805.924256 1709.889008 4323.660662 13927.922338 80402.638649
2025-09-21 235.552321 413.007468 770.830709 1655.574784 4265.424380 14171.979285 87567.569931
2025-09-28 221.454240 390.431656 733.894119 1592.707454 4169.659001 14229.460887 93378.029701
2025-10-05 218.575225 390.164420 745.293731 1656.240304 4499.003673 16348.591197 124229.682570